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High-Frequency Update: 10-6-24

Oct. 6, 2024

Arizona initial claims for unemployment insurance fell slightly last week

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Arizona initial claims for unemployment insurance fell slightly over the week for the week ended September 28, reaching 3,602. That was up 13.7% over the year but down 4.1% from 2019.

U.S. initial claims for unemployment insurance fell modestly to 180,647 for the week ended September 28, down from 181,713 the prior week. That was up 3.4% over the year and up 4.4% from 2019.

The U.S. hotel occupancy rate fell slightly for the week ended September 28, to 68.4%. That was down from 68.9% the prior week. The occupancy rate was up 2.5% over the year but down 3.9% from 2019.

U.S. movie box office sales rose to $120.6 million for the week ended October 3, up from $107.3 million the prior week. That was up 6.3% over the year but down 8.1% from 2019. New movie releases were down 44.1% from 2019.

U.S. TSA traveler throughput dropped to 16.9 million for the week ended September 28, down from 17.1 million the prior week. That was up 0.9% over the year and up 4.1% from 2019.

Weekly data Arizona new business applications will continue to be published by the Census Bureau, but only on a monthly basis. We should have weekly data for September in early October. Stay tuned.

Data on seated diners at restaurants using the OpenTable app is no longer being updated to compare the current week to 2019 results.

As of October 15, 2022, Google stopped updating mobility data.

Key News Articles and Research (subscription may be required)

Curated by Valorie Rice, Senior Business Information Specialist

Arizona and general topics: Devastation from Hurricane Helene could bring semiconductor chipmaking to a halt (CNN 10/2)
Automation / AI: Exposure to generative AI and expectations about inequality (FRBNY 10/2)
Demographic / socioeconomic / Census: Where Americans have been moving into disaster-prone areas (NYT 9/30)
Economy: U*= √uv: the full-employment rate of unemployment in the United States (Brookings 9/25)
Education / early childhood development: How did community college students fare after COVID-19 disruptions? A first look at the BPS:20/22 (FRBR 9/30)
Energy / environment / infrastructure:  Retail electricity prices closely tracked inflation over the last 10 years (EIA 9/11)
Housing / real estate: Flood risk outside flood zones – a look at mortgage lending in risky areas (FRBNY 9/25)
Prices/inflation:  A model-based perspective on inflation and the distribution of relative price changes (FRBR)
Public finance: Fixing Social Security: the window is closing (Milken Rev 9/9)
Wages/income/wealth: California’s $20 fast food minimum wages sees no job loss, slight price hikes (NPR 9/30)
Workforce/employment/labor market: How aware is the public of labor market conditions? (FRBSF 9/30)

 


Weekly Indicators 

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Note: The official initial claims for unemployment insurance numbers for the U.S. are released every Thursday morning covering the week ending on the previous Saturday.






The U.S. Census Bureau continues to produce weekly estimates; however, the weekly estimate files are published as part of the Monthly Business Formation Statistics (BFS) Release.One key dataset with these estimates is High-Propensity Business Applications, a subset of total weekly business applications in Arizona that measures the number of applications with a high-propensity of turning into a business with a payroll, based on various factors. These data reflect weekly applications for Employer Identification Numbers (EINs) in Arizona which are likely to result in employment and wages. These include applications: (a) from a corporate entity, (b) that indicate they are hiring employees, purchasing a business or changing organizational type, (c) that provide a first wages-paid date (planned wages); or (d) that have a NAICS industry code in manufacturing (31-33), retail stores (44), health care (62), or restaurants/food service (72). Applications for EINs occur before the jobs and wages are added, so this is a leading indicator. Read more about the Business Application dataset from the U.S. Census Bureau.