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High-Frequency Update: 10-26-25

Oct. 26, 2025

U.S. movie box office sales dropped last week

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Third quarter 2020 forecast update webinar

Arizona initial claims for unemployment insurance rose to 2,864 for the week ended October 11, up from 2,783 the prior week. That was down 17.3% over the year and down 26.9% from 2019.

U.S. weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance data will not be updated during the federal government shutdown.

The U.S. hotel occupancy rate fell to 68.5% for the week of October 18, down from 69.1% the prior week. That was down 2.3% over the year and down 5.4% from 2019.

U.S. movie box office sales dropped to $91.9 million for the week ended October 23, down from $98.4 million the prior week. That was down 2.5% over the year and down 50.3% from 2019. New movie releases were down 47.6% from 2019.

U.S. TSA traveler throughput ticked up to 18.7 million, up from 18.4 million the prior week. That was up 3.6% over the year and up 9.7% from 2019.

Weekly data on Arizona new business applications continue to be published by the Census Bureau, but only on a monthly basis. Data for September has not been updated due to the federal government shutdown.

Data on seated diners at restaurants using the OpenTable app is no longer being updated to compare the current week to 2019 results.

As of October 15, 2022, Google stopped updating mobility data.

Key News Articles and Research (subscription may be required)

Curated by Valorie Rice, Senior Business Information Specialist

Arizona and general topics: 2025’s top states for business: how the winners are outpacing the rest (Area Dev)
Automation / AI: Generative AI, productivity and the future of work (FRBSL 10/8)
Demographic / socioeconomic / Census: A closer look at what’s driving the rising rates of uninsured children (Stateline 10/14)
Economy: Consumption sensitivity of uncertain households (FRBNY 10/14)
Education / early childhood development: Districts around the US are mulling school closures as student enrollment falls (AP 9/24)
Energy / environment / infrastructure: Expanding U.S. net available power capacity by 2030 (RAND 10/13)
 Housing / real estate: Recent tariffs threaten residential construction (Brookings 10/3)
Commercial real estate: Banking Analytics: Modifications to commercial real estate loans rise (FRBSL 10/6)
Mexico/trade: States reckon with rising tariffs’ hidden toll (Governing 10/8)
Prices/inflation: How tariffs are affecting prices in 2025 (FRBSL 10/16)
Public finance: How should the US address long-term deficits? (Brookings 10/15)
Workforce/employment/labor market: The agencies hit hardest by shutdown layoffs (WSJ 10/13)

 


Weekly Indicators 

Use your cursor as a tooltip and click on charts to view values. Click on the names of indicators listed at the bottom any chart to switch them on/off to view fewer at one time and make comparisons. Icons allow you to download and share.



Note: The official initial claims for unemployment insurance numbers for the U.S. are released every Thursday morning covering the week ending on the previous Saturday.






The U.S. Census Bureau continues to produce weekly estimates; however, the weekly estimate files are published as part of the Monthly Business Formation Statistics (BFS) Release.One key dataset with these estimates is High-Propensity Business Applications, a subset of total weekly business applications in Arizona that measures the number of applications with a high-propensity of turning into a business with a payroll, based on various factors. These data reflect weekly applications for Employer Identification Numbers (EINs) in Arizona which are likely to result in employment and wages. These include applications: (a) from a corporate entity, (b) that indicate they are hiring employees, purchasing a business or changing organizational type, (c) that provide a first wages-paid date (planned wages); or (d) that have a NAICS industry code in manufacturing (31-33), retail stores (44), health care (62), or restaurants/food service (72). Applications for EINs occur before the jobs and wages are added, so this is a leading indicator. Read more about the Business Application dataset from the U.S. Census Bureau.