High-Frequency Update: 6-14-26

June 14, 2026

By Niaoniao You, EBRC senior economic forecaster

Hotel occupancy yet to see much boost from the World Cup

Third quarter 2020 forecast update webinar

Arizona initial claims for unemployment insurance rebounded to 3,281 for the week ended June 6, up from 2,831 the prior week. That was down 20.6% over the year and down 29.7% from 2019.

U.S. weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped to 228,276 for the week ended June 6, up from 188,563 the prior week. That was down 6.4% over the year but up 3.7% from 2019.

The U.S. hotel occupancy rate bounced back to 67.9% for the week ended June 6, up from 62.2% the prior week. That was up 1.3% over the year but still down 5.7% from 2019.

U.S. movie box office sales slid to $258.6 million for the week ended June 11, down from $268.8 million the prior week. That was up 60.5% over the year and up 7.0% from 2019. New movie releases were down 56.9% from 2019.

U.S. TSA traveler throughput climbed to 18.0 million for the week ended June 6, up from 17.8 million the prior week. That was up 0.1% over the year and up 4.6% from 2019.

Weekly data on Arizona new business applications continue to be published by the Census Bureau, but only on a monthly basis. Weekly data for April ranged from 820 to 920. Overall, new business applications have been trending up but remain below levels reached in 2023.

Data on seated diners at restaurants using the OpenTable app is no longer being updated to compare the current week to 2019 results.

As of October 15, 2022, Google stopped updating mobility data.

Key News Articles and Research (subscription may be required)

Curated by Valorie Rice, Senior Business Information Specialist

Arizona and general topics: Arizona short 11,400 university graduates each year as billions flow into advanced projects (PBJ 6/4)
Automation / AI: The future of work and AI (WSJ 6/9)
Demographic / socioeconomic / Census: Declining fertility rates across the world (FRBSL 6/9)
Federal statistics: Restoring trust in economic statistics: why it matters and how we fix it (Brookings 5/26)
Economy: Consumer sentiment improves slightly in June but remains sluggish (WSJ 6/12)
Education / early childhood development: As states invest in early childhood, here’s what policymakers need to know (Upjohn 6/9)
Energy / environment / infrastructure: Arizona faces 77% cut in share of Colorado River as states remain deadlocked over water allocation (Cronkite 6/9)
Housing / real estate: The effect of land supply for new homes on residential investment and house prices (FRBB)
Mexico/trade: Canada set to reopen Arizona trade office after 12-year hiatus (PBJ 6/11)
Prices/inflation: Gas prices wipe out more than a year of wage gains (WSJ 6/10)
Public finance: Hobbs, GOP legislative leaders agree on $18.3 billion Arizona spending plan (ADS 6/9)
Wages/income/wealth: Three key facts on intergenerational wealth transfer (Urban Inst 6/2)
Workforce/employment/labor market: The data center tsunami is coming. What about the jobs? (PBJ 6/9)

Weekly Indicators

Use your cursor as a tooltip and click on charts to view values. Click on the names of indicators listed at the bottom any chart to switch them on/off to view fewer at one time and make comparisons. Icons allow you to download and share.

Note: The official initial claims for unemployment insurance numbers for the U.S. are released every Thursday morning covering the week ending on the previous Saturday.

Note: See (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/wrgp/mogas_home_page.html) for further definitions. Regular Gasoline has an antiknock index (average of the research octane rating and the motor octane number) greater than or equal to 85 and less than 88. Octane requirements may vary by altitude.

The U.S. Census Bureau continues to produce weekly estimates; however, the weekly estimate files are published as part of the Monthly Business Formation Statistics (BFS) Release.One key dataset with these estimates is High-Propensity Business Applications, a subset of total weekly business applications in Arizona that measures the number of applications with a high-propensity of turning into a business with a payroll, based on various factors. These data reflect weekly applications for Employer Identification Numbers (EINs) in Arizona which are likely to result in employment and wages. These include applications: (a) from a corporate entity, (b) that indicate they are hiring employees, purchasing a business or changing organizational type, (c) that provide a first wages-paid date (planned wages); or (d) that have a NAICS industry code in manufacturing (31-33), retail stores (44), health care (62), or restaurants/food service (72). Applications for EINs occur before the jobs and wages are added, so this is a leading indicator. Read more about the Business Application dataset from the U.S. Census Bureau.